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DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Kansas City Chiefs vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
DK Metcalf Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 75.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 76.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 75.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Seahawks are a 3-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 63.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 135.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 8th-most in football.
  • THE BLITZ projects DK Metcalf to notch 11.6 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 99th percentile among WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seattle Seahawks have run the 6th-least plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.1 plays per game.
  • DK Metcalf has been among the bottom wideouts in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging just 3.03 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 23rd percentile.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs cornerbacks project as the 5th-best CB corps in football this year in covering receivers.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the quickest in football since the start of last season.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have faced a stacked the box on just 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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