DK Metcalf Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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DK Metcalf

NFL · Player Props

DK Metcalf

WR · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 16, 2022 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

DK Metcalf Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 65.5 (+102/-134).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 65.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 65.5 @ -134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Seahawks are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 7th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 62.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 6th-most in football.
THE BLITZ projects DK Metcalf to accrue 9.9 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 97th percentile among wideouts.
DK Metcalf has accrued significantly more air yards this year (109.0 per game) than he did last year (96.0 per game).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to call the 6th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Seattle Seahawks have called the 3rd-least plays in football this year, averaging just 53.8 plays per game.
DK Metcalf has been among the worst WRs in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging just 3.06 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 23rd percentile.
The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has excelled when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.95 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-least in the league.
The San Francisco 49ers linebackers rank as the best group of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

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