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DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
DK Metcalf Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 66.5 (+109/-144).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 65.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 66.5 @ +109.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 63.6% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.38 seconds per snap.
  • The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects DK Metcalf to earn 9.6 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 94th percentile among wideouts.
  • DK Metcalf has been a key part of his team's passing attack, earning a Target Share of 28.6% this year, which ranks him in the 95th percentile among wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seahawks are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • DK Metcalf has been among the least effective pass-catchers in football, averaging a measly 7.38 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 18th percentile among WRs
  • DK Metcalf has been among the weakest WRs in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a measly 3.27 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 25th percentile.
  • The Los Angeles Rams pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have faced a stacked the box on just 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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