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DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Seattle Seahawks vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
DK Metcalf Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 65.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 60.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 65.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 63.0% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks offense to be the 10th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 27.52 seconds per play.
  • THE BLITZ projects DK Metcalf to earn 9.4 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 95th percentile among wide receivers.
  • DK Metcalf has been a big part of his team's offense, posting a Target Share of 27.2% this year, which ranks in the 94th percentile among wideouts.
  • DK Metcalf has totaled far more air yards this season (102.0 per game) than he did last season (96.0 per game).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seahawks are a 4-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • DK Metcalf has been among the least effective receivers in the league, averaging a measly 7.49 yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 24th percentile among wide receivers
  • The Seattle Seahawks have faced a stacked the box on a measly 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have risked going for it on 4th down a mere 8.7% of the time since the start of last season (least in football), which generally means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have used motion in their offense on 28.2% of their play-calls since the start of last season (5th-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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