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DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 9

Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks

DK Metcalf Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+145/-201).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +164 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Opposing QBs have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.

DK Metcalf has accumulated significantly more air yards this season (110.0 per game) than he did last season (96.0 per game).

DK Metcalf's 71.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in the NFL: 96th percentile for wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Seattle Seahawks have called the 4th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 53.9 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects DK Metcalf to be a less important option in his team's air attack near the end zone this week (30.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (35.7% in games he has played).

DK Metcalf has been among the most unreliable receivers in the NFL, catching a measly 59.6% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 17th percentile among WRs

The Arizona Cardinals defense has allowed the 3rd-least passing touchdowns in football to wide receivers: 0.50 per game this year.

The Arizona Cardinals defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-best in football since the start of last season.

More DK Metcalf Player Props

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