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DK Metcalf
NFL · Player Props
DK Metcalf
WR · Seattle Seahawks
Receiving TD
Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 15, 2022 Updated Dec 16, 2022 12:26 AM UTC
NFL Props DK Metcalf Receiving TD

DK Metcalf Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+184/-268).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +187 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +184.

Favors Over
  • The Seahawks are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 6th-most in football.
  • DK Metcalf has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 39.3% this year, which ranks in the 100th percentile among wide receivers.
  • DK Metcalf has accrued significantly more air yards this year (109.0 per game) than he did last year (96.0 per game).
  • DK Metcalf's 71.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in football: 97th percentile for wideouts.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to call the 6th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have called the 3rd-least plays in football this year, averaging just 53.8 plays per game.
  • The San Francisco 49ers defense has given up the 7th-least passing touchdowns in the NFL to wideouts: 0.77 per game this year.
  • The San Francisco 49ers linebackers rank as the best group of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have faced a stacked the box on a mere 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
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