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DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 14

Seattle Seahawks vs Carolina Panthers

DK Metcalf Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+141/-194).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +144 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +141.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

DK Metcalf has put up significantly more air yards this year (103.0 per game) than he did last year (96.0 per game).

DK Metcalf's 70.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 95th percentile for WRs.

DK Metcalf's possession skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% rising from 60.1% to 67.6%.

DK Metcalf ranks in the 86th percentile among WRs when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a stellar 0.42 per game.

The Carolina Panthers pass defense has conceded the highest Completion% in the NFL (71.5%) vs. wideouts this year (71.5%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Seahawks are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Seattle Seahawks have called the 5th-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 54.2 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects DK Metcalf to be a less important option in his offense's pass attack near the goal line this week (33.4% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (39.2% in games he has played).

The Carolina Panthers defense has surrendered the 5th-least passing touchdowns in football to WRs: 0.67 per game this year.

More DK Metcalf Player Props

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