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D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Arizona Cardinals vs Chicago Bears

D.J. Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Bears offense to be the 10th-fastest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.50 seconds per play.

In this contest, D.J. Moore is forecasted by the predictive model to position himself in the 89th percentile among wide receivers with 8.0 targets.

In regards to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Bears ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year.

The Cardinals pass defense has yielded the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (72.5%) to WRs this year (72.5%).

When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Arizona's group of CBs has been atrocious this year, profiling as the 3rd-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may decline.

D.J. Moore has been much less involved in his team's passing offense this season (25.0% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (30.0%).

D.J. Moore's 4.7 adjusted receptions per game this year shows a material reduction in his pass-catching ability over last year's 5.7 rate.

D.J. Moore's ball-catching skills have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 73.2% to 67.3%.

More D.J. Moore Player Props

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