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D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Indianapolis Colts vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
D.J. Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Bears as the 6th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 60.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the most plays run on the slate this week at 133.2 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • In this week's contest, D.J. Moore is predicted by the predictive model to finish in the 99th percentile among wideouts with 10.1 targets.
  • D.J. Moore's 75.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the league leaders: 97th percentile for wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Indianapolis Colts, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 30.9 per game) since the start of last season.
  • In regards to pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Bears grades out as the 7th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • The Colts linebackers project as the 4th-best LB corps in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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