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D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Houston Texans vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
D.J. Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is implied by the Bears being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.
  • The Bears rank as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 66.1% pass rate.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.0 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • In this game, D.J. Moore is forecasted by the predictive model to position himself in the 96th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 9.8 targets.
  • D.J. Moore's 75.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) ranks him among the best in the NFL: 97th percentile for wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing QBs teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Texans, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 32.3 per game) since the start of last season.
  • The Chicago offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative influence on all air attack metrics across the board.

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