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D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions

D.J. Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bears are a giant 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.

The Bears have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.9 plays per game.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.

In this week's game, D.J. Moore is anticipated by the model to finish in the 88th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 8.6 targets.

As it relates to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Bears grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Chicago Bears are projected by the projection model to run just 64.3 total plays in this contest: the 8th-fewest on the slate this week.

The forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

D.J. Moore's 58.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 76.9.

D.J. Moore's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 73.2% to 69.0%.

This year, the fierce Lions defense has yielded a meager 61.2% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 6th-best rate in football.

More D.J. Moore Player Props

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