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D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
D.J. Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is indicated by the Bears being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.
  • The Chicago Bears offense has played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 27.75 seconds per play.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
  • In this game, D.J. Moore is forecasted by the projection model to land in the 88th percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.8 targets.
  • The Chicago Bears O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • D.J. Moore's 24.4% Target Share this year conveys a noteable diminishment in his passing game volume over last year's 30.0% mark.
  • D.J. Moore's 4.6 adjusted catches per game this year illustrates a substantial diminishment in his receiving prowess over last year's 5.7 rate.
  • D.J. Moore's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 73.2% to 66.0%.
  • The Minnesota Vikings linebackers rank as the 4th-best unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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