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D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

D.J. Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bears are a 6-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Chicago Bears are predicted by the predictive model to run 67.3 total plays in this game: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.

The Chicago Bears have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 59.9 plays per game.

In this week's game, D.J. Moore is projected by our trusted projection set to place in the 89th percentile among wide receivers with 8.2 targets.

In regards to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Chicago Bears profiles as the 6th-best in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

D.J. Moore has been much less involved in his team's passing attack this season (24.6% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (30.0%).

D.J. Moore's play as a receiver has tailed off this year, compiling a measly 4.4 adjusted receptions vs 5.7 last year.

D.J. Moore's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 73.2% to 62.3%.

When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Green Bay's collection of safeties has been fantastic this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the league.

More D.J. Moore Player Props

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