My Account Log Out

reorder

D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Chicago Bears vs Tennessee Titans

D.J. Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -141 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears to run the most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.5 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

In this week's contest, D.J. Moore is projected by the predictive model to slot into the 87th percentile among WRs with 7.6 targets.

With a terrific 5.7 adjusted receptions per game (92nd percentile) last year, D.J. Moore has been among the leading pass-catching WRs in the NFL.

With an impressive 73.2% Adjusted Completion Rate (90th percentile) last year, D.J. Moore has been as one of the most reliable receivers in football among wide receivers.

The Tennessee Titans pass defense has been torched for the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (71.7%) to WRs last year (71.7%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bears are a 4.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bears to pass on 54.8% of their downs: the 6th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

The projections expect D.J. Moore to be much less involved in his team's passing game in this week's contest (23.2% projected Target Share) than he has been last year (30.1% in games he has played).

The Chicago Bears O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in football last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

More D.J. Moore Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™