D.J. Moore Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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D.J. Moore

NFL · Player Props

D.J. Moore

WR · Chicago Bears

Receptions

Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 6, 2023 2:41 AM EST

Analysis

D.J. Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-170/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -170.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bears are a 6-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
In this contest, D.J. Moore is predicted by the projections to slot into the 79th percentile among WRs with 6.9 targets.
D.J. Moore's 4.7 adjusted receptions per game this year represents a a noteworthy progression in his pass-catching talent over last year's 3.7 rate.
D.J. Moore's ball-catching skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 57.7% to 78.8%.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears as the 2nd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 51.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the Bears to run the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Bears have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 55.8 plays per game.
D.J. Moore's 60.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 73.7.
As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Washington's group of CBs has been great this year, projecting as the 5th-best in football.

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