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D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
D.J. Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-170/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -170.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bears are a 6-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • In this contest, D.J. Moore is predicted by the projections to slot into the 79th percentile among WRs with 6.9 targets.
  • D.J. Moore's 4.7 adjusted receptions per game this year represents a a noteworthy progression in his pass-catching talent over last year's 3.7 rate.
  • D.J. Moore's ball-catching skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 57.7% to 78.8%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears as the 2nd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 51.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect the Bears to run the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Bears have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 55.8 plays per game.
  • D.J. Moore's 60.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 73.7.
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Washington's group of CBs has been great this year, projecting as the 5th-best in football.

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