D.J. Moore Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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D.J. Moore

NFL · Player Props

D.J. Moore

WR · Chicago Bears

Receptions

Kansas City Chiefs vs Chicago Bears · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 7:26 PM UTC

Analysis

D.J. Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bears are an enormous 12.5-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the NFL.
D.J. Moore has run a route on 97.0% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.
THE BLITZ projects D.J. Moore to accrue 7.4 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile among wideouts.
The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers grade out as the 9th-worst group of LBs in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears to be the 6th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the 3rd-slowest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) right now, causing opposing offenses to average 29.10 seconds per play.
D.J. Moore has been among the most unreliable receivers in the league, completing just 60.6% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 16th percentile among WRs

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