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D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Kansas City Chiefs vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
D.J. Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bears are an enormous 12.5-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the NFL.
  • D.J. Moore has run a route on 97.0% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.
  • THE BLITZ projects D.J. Moore to accrue 7.4 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile among wideouts.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers grade out as the 9th-worst group of LBs in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears to be the 6th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the 3rd-slowest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) right now, causing opposing offenses to average 29.10 seconds per play.
  • D.J. Moore has been among the most unreliable receivers in the league, completing just 60.6% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 16th percentile among WRs

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