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D.J. Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+130/-160).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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At a -3-point disadvantage, the Bears are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.The Chicago Bears have run the 5th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 60.5 plays per game.This week, D.J. Moore is projected by our trusted projection set to slot into the 93rd percentile when it comes to wideouts with 9.3 targets.D.J. Moore ranks in the 98th percentile when it comes to wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive volume) with a whopping 76.8 figure this year.D.J. Moore's pass-catching performance gotten better this season, totaling 5.8 adjusted catches vs just 3.7 last season.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears to pass on 52.1% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.The model projects the Bears to call the 7th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.4 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.Opposing QBs have averaged 33.8 pass attempts per game against the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 8th-fewest in football.As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the importance it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Chicago Bears ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.As it relates to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Green Bay's unit has been tremendous this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in the NFL.
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