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D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
D.J. Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+130/-160).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Bears are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
  • The Chicago Bears have run the 5th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 60.5 plays per game.
  • This week, D.J. Moore is projected by our trusted projection set to slot into the 93rd percentile when it comes to wideouts with 9.3 targets.
  • D.J. Moore ranks in the 98th percentile when it comes to wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive volume) with a whopping 76.8 figure this year.
  • D.J. Moore's pass-catching performance gotten better this season, totaling 5.8 adjusted catches vs just 3.7 last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears to pass on 52.1% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The model projects the Bears to call the 7th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.4 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 33.8 pass attempts per game against the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 8th-fewest in football.
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the importance it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Chicago Bears ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • As it relates to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Green Bay's unit has been tremendous this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

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