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D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Chicago Bears vs Arizona Cardinals

D.J. Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+104/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -132.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

D.J. Moore has run a route on 95.8% of his team's passing plays this year, putting him in the 97th percentile among wideouts.

The predictive model expects D.J. Moore to earn 7.9 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 86th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

D.J. Moore's 5.7 adjusted catches per game this season signifies a material progression in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 3.7 rate.

D.J. Moore's 74.4% Adjusted Catch% this season signifies a material progression in his receiving ability over last season's 57.7% rate.

The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has conceded the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (70.2%) to WRs this year (70.2%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 4.5-point advantage, the Bears are favored in this game, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their normal approach.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Bears to pass on 48.2% of their plays: the lowest clip among all teams this week.

The model projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 32.1 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 4th-fewest in football.

In regards to pass protection (and the ramifications it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Chicago Bears ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.

More D.J. Moore Player Props

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