D.J. Moore Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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D.J. Moore

NFL · Player Props

D.J. Moore

WR · Carolina Panthers

Receptions

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 7:31 PM UTC

Analysis

D.J. Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-140/+110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Carolina Panthers will be rolling out backup QB PJ Walker in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Panthers are a huge 13.5-point underdog this week, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 5th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 62.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Carolina Panthers have run the 3rd-least plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 52.3 plays per game.
D.J. Moore's 61.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 71.9.
D.J. Moore's play as a receiver has tailed off this season, averaging a measly 3.2 yards per game vs 5.5 last season.
D.J. Moore's sure-handedness have declined this year, with his Completion% falling off from 59.7% to 50.9%.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has yielded the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (58.6%) versus wide receivers this year (58.6%).

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