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D.J. Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+143/-194).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -177 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -194.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Carolina Panthers will be forced to start backup quarterback Sam Darnold this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.Opposing QBs have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game against the Detroit Lions defense this year: 3rd-most in football.D.J. Moore has run a route on 97.6% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 99th percentile among WRs.THE BLITZ projects D.J. Moore to total 7.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 82nd percentile among wideouts.The Carolina Panthers O-line grades out as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 6.1% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 6th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 49.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to run the 5th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.The Carolina Panthers have run the least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 52.9 plays per game.D.J. Moore's receiving talent has tailed off this year, compiling just 3.6 yards per game compared to 5.5 last year.
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