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D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Arizona Cardinals vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
D.J. Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 52.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 53.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Bears offense to be the 10th-fastest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.50 seconds per play.
  • In this contest, D.J. Moore is forecasted by the predictive model to position himself in the 89th percentile among wide receivers with 8.0 targets.
  • In regards to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Bears ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year.
  • The Cardinals pass defense has yielded the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (72.5%) to WRs this year (72.5%).
  • This year, the feeble Cardinals defense has given up the 5th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wide receivers: a colossal 8.83 yards.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may decline.
  • D.J. Moore has been much less involved in his team's passing offense this season (25.0% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (30.0%).
  • D.J. Moore has accrued significantly fewer air yards this year (66.0 per game) than he did last year (100.0 per game).
  • D.J. Moore has notched substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (52.0) this year than he did last year (77.0).
  • D.J. Moore's ball-catching skills have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 73.2% to 67.3%.

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