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D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
D.J. Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 61.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 56.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 61.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 61.9% rate of passing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-most pass-centric team in football has been the Chicago Bears.
  • The Chicago Bears have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 59.0 plays per game.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) typically cause better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • This week, D.J. Moore is anticipated by our trusted projection set to place in the 89th percentile among wideouts with 7.9 targets.
  • In regards to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Chicago Bears profiles as the 9th-best in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Chicago Bears are forecasted by the model to run just 62.8 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Washington Commanders defense this year: 4th-fewest in the NFL.
  • D.J. Moore has put up far fewer air yards this season (69.0 per game) than he did last season (100.0 per game).
  • D.J. Moore's 58.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 76.9.
  • D.J. Moore's 56.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year conveys a noteable decrease in his pass-catching skills over last year's 77.0 mark.

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