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D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Chicago Bears vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
D.J. Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 65.5 (-131/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 61.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 65.5 @ -131.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 8th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Chicago Bears.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
  • The leading projections forecast D.J. Moore to earn 8.3 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 90th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • The Chicago O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
  • This year, the deficient Jacksonville Jaguars defense has conceded a staggering 198.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing wideouts: the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • After averaging 100.0 air yards per game last year, D.J. Moore has regressed heavily this year, now sitting at 75.0 per game.
  • D.J. Moore's 59.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 76.9.
  • D.J. Moore has accumulated a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (60.0) this year than he did last year (77.0).
  • D.J. Moore's 67.3% Adjusted Catch% this year marks an impressive reduction in his receiving ability over last year's 73.2% mark.
  • D.J. Moore's pass-game efficiency has declined this year, accumulating a mere 7.53 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 9.95 rate last year.

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