D.J. Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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D.J. Moore

NFL · Player Props

D.J. Moore

WR · Chicago Bears

Receiving Yards

Chicago Bears vs Carolina Panthers · Week 5, 2024

Updated Oct 6, 2024 11:31 PM UTC

Analysis

D.J. Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Bears are projected by the model to run 66.2 total plays in this game: the highest number among all teams this week.
The Bears have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 60.2 plays per game.
The projections expect D.J. Moore to notch 7.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 84th percentile among wideouts.
The Panthers pass defense has given up the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (67.4%) vs. WRs since the start of last season (67.4%).
This year, the poor Carolina Panthers defense has allowed the 8th-most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing wide receivers: a whopping 4.70 YAC.

Favors Under

The Bears are a 5.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a running game script.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Bears to pass on 54.0% of their plays: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
The forecast calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Panthers defense this year: 8th-fewest in football.
After averaging 100.0 air yards per game last season, D.J. Moore has significantly declined this season, now averaging 68.0 per game.

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