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D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
D.J. Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 55.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 62.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 55.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bears are a giant 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • The Bears have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
  • In this week's game, D.J. Moore is anticipated by the model to finish in the 88th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 8.6 targets.
  • As it relates to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Bears grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Chicago Bears are projected by the projection model to run just 64.3 total plays in this contest: the 8th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • D.J. Moore has accrued quite a few less air yards this year (62.0 per game) than he did last year (100.0 per game).
  • D.J. Moore's 58.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 76.9.
  • D.J. Moore has compiled substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (57.0) this season than he did last season (77.0).

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