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D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
D.J. Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 58.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 56.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bears are a huge 7-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Bears to pass on 62.6% of their plays: the 5th-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • The Chicago Bears have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 59.8 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Minnesota Vikings defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inducing opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (38.4 per game) this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the fewest plays run among all games this week at 125.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • After averaging 100.0 air yards per game last year, D.J. Moore has gotten worse this year, currently averaging 67.0 per game.
  • D.J. Moore's 59.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 76.9.
  • D.J. Moore's 59.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season conveys a material decrease in his receiving talent over last season's 77.0 mark.
  • D.J. Moore's 66.7% Adjusted Completion Rate this season represents a material drop-off in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 73.2% figure.

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