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D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

San Francisco 49ers vs Chicago Bears

D.J. Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 61.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 56.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Bears are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.

The predictive model expects the Bears to be the 10th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 61.9% pass rate.

The Chicago Bears have run the 4th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 60.8 plays per game.

In this contest, D.J. Moore is anticipated by the model to land in the 87th percentile when it comes to WRs with 8.3 targets.

The Chicago Bears O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all air attack stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect this game to have the fewest plays run among all games this week at 123.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 6th-fewest in football.

D.J. Moore has notched far fewer air yards this season (70.0 per game) than he did last season (100.0 per game).

D.J. Moore's 59.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 76.9.

D.J. Moore's 59.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year illustrates a remarkable drop-off in his receiving proficiency over last year's 77.0 rate.

More D.J. Moore Player Props

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