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D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
D.J. Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 49.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 49.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is indicated by the Bears being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.
  • The Chicago Bears offense has played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 27.75 seconds per play.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
  • In this game, D.J. Moore is forecasted by the projection model to land in the 88th percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.8 targets.
  • The Chicago Bears O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • D.J. Moore's 24.4% Target Share this year conveys a noteable diminishment in his passing game volume over last year's 30.0% mark.
  • After averaging 100.0 air yards per game last year, D.J. Moore has produced significantly less this year, now sitting at 60.0 per game.
  • D.J. Moore has put up quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (49.0) this season than he did last season (77.0).
  • D.J. Moore's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 73.2% to 66.0%.
  • D.J. Moore's pass-catching efficiency has worsened this season, totaling a mere 6.93 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 9.95 mark last season.

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