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D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
D.J. Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 45.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 42.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bears are a 6-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Chicago Bears are predicted by the predictive model to run 67.3 total plays in this game: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The Chicago Bears have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 59.9 plays per game.
  • In this week's game, D.J. Moore is projected by our trusted projection set to place in the 89th percentile among wide receivers with 8.2 targets.
  • In regards to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Chicago Bears profiles as the 6th-best in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • D.J. Moore has been much less involved in his team's passing attack this season (24.6% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (30.0%).
  • D.J. Moore has accumulated quite a few less air yards this season (66.0 per game) than he did last season (100.0 per game).
  • D.J. Moore has notched a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (46.0) this year than he did last year (77.0).
  • D.J. Moore's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 73.2% to 62.3%.
  • D.J. Moore's pass-game effectiveness has declined this year, accumulating a mere 6.59 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 9.95 figure last year.

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