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D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Chicago Bears vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
D.J. Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 62.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 59.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears to run the most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.5 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • In this week's contest, D.J. Moore is projected by the predictive model to slot into the 87th percentile among WRs with 7.6 targets.
  • When talking about air yards, D.J. Moore ranks in the lofty 91st percentile among wideouts last year, totaling an impressive 95.0 per game.
  • D.J. Moore is positioned as one of the leading wide receivers in the game last year, averaging a fantastic 77.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 93rd percentile.
  • With an impressive 73.2% Adjusted Completion Rate (90th percentile) last year, D.J. Moore has been as one of the most reliable receivers in football among wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bears are a 4.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bears to pass on 54.8% of their downs: the 6th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect D.J. Moore to be much less involved in his team's passing game in this week's contest (23.2% projected Target Share) than he has been last year (30.1% in games he has played).
  • The Chicago Bears O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in football last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • The Titans pass defense has performed very well when opposing WRs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.95 yards-after-the-catch last year: the 5th-fewest in the league.

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