D.J. Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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D.J. Moore

NFL · Player Props

D.J. Moore

WR · Chicago Bears

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Chargers vs Chicago Bears · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 30, 2023 12:17 AM EST

Analysis

D.J. Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 57.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 60.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 57.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Chicago Bears may take to the air less in this contest (and call more carries) as a result of being be rolling with backup quarterback Tyson Bagent.
The Bears are a heavy 8.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game versus the Chargers defense this year: 5th-most in football.
D.J. Moore has run a route on 95.4% of his team's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
Our trusted projections expect D.J. Moore to total 9.3 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Chicago Bears to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.0% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
At the moment, the 5th-slowest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Bears.

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