D.J. Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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D.J. Moore

NFL · Player Props

D.J. Moore

WR · Chicago Bears

Receiving Yards

Chicago Bears vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM UTC

Analysis

D.J. Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bears may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) because they be rolling out backup QB Tyson Bagent.
D.J. Moore has run a route on 96.0% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile among WRs.
The projections expect D.J. Moore to garner 8.1 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 86th percentile among WRs.
After totaling 90.0 air yards per game last season, D.J. Moore has undergone big improvement this season, now averaging 99.0 per game.
D.J. Moore's 91.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year shows a an impressive gain in his pass-catching skills over last year's 49.0 mark.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Bears to be the 3rd-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to have just 120.4 total plays run: the lowest number among all games this week.
Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Las Vegas Raiders, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 34.2 per game) this year.
When it comes to pocket protection (and the impact it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Chicago Bears profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year.
The Raiders defense has allowed the 8th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 135.0) to WRs this year.

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