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D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
D.J. Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (-130/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 60.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 64.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Bears are underdogs this week, implying more of an emphasis on throwing than their standard game plan.
  • The Vikings defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in the league (37.0 per game) this year.
  • With a top-tier 95.3% Route Participation% (95th percentile) this year, D.J. Moore ranks among the wideouts with the biggest workloads in the league.
  • The model projects D.J. Moore to notch 7.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile among wideouts.
  • D.J. Moore has posted many more air yards this season (102.0 per game) than he did last season (90.0 per game).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Chicago Bears to be the 2nd-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 49.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears offense to be the 9th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 28.72 seconds per snap.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being called for in this game) generally prompt lessened passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and higher ground volume.
  • In regards to protecting the passer (and the ramifications it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Chicago Bears profiles as the 6th-worst in football this year.
  • The Vikings safeties profile as the 3rd-best collection of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.

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