D.J. Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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D.J. Moore

NFL · Player Props

D.J. Moore

WR · Chicago Bears

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Chicago Bears · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 11:36 PM UTC

Analysis

D.J. Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bears are an enormous 12.5-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the NFL.
D.J. Moore has run a route on 97.0% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.
THE BLITZ projects D.J. Moore to accrue 7.4 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile among wideouts.
D.J. Moore has notched a monstrous 84.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 88th percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears to be the 6th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the 3rd-slowest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) right now, causing opposing offenses to average 29.10 seconds per play.
D.J. Moore has been among the most unreliable receivers in the league, completing just 60.6% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 16th percentile among WRs
The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has exhibited good efficiency vs. wide receivers since the start of last season, conceding 7.90 yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-least in football.

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