D.J. Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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D.J. Moore

NFL · Player Props

D.J. Moore

WR · Chicago Bears

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Chicago Bears · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

D.J. Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-122/-107).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 63.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 59.5 @ -107.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week, D.J. Moore is projected by our trusted projection set to place in the 90th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 8.3 targets.
After accruing 90.0 air yards per game last season, D.J. Moore has undergone big improvement this season, currently boasting 95.0 per game.
D.J. Moore ranks in the 98th percentile when it comes to WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive usage) with a whopping 78.6 figure this year.
D.J. Moore's 78.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season conveys a noteable improvement in his receiving talent over last season's 49.0 rate.
D.J. Moore's ball-catching skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 57.7% to 75.1%.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Chicago Bears as the 2nd-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 48.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the Bears offense to be the 6th-slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 28.87 seconds per play.
Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to test the pass defense of the Cleveland Browns, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (a measly 29.9 per game) this year.
This year, the strong Cleveland Browns defense has conceded a puny 121.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing WRs: the 2nd-fewest in football.
This year, the strong Browns defense has conceded a paltry 54.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the best rate in football.

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