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D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
D.J. Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 73.5 (-145/+115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bears are a 3-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • This week, D.J. Moore is predicted by our trusted projection set to rank in the 88th percentile among wideouts with 8.0 targets.
  • When talking about air yards, D.J. Moore ranks in the lofty 91st percentile among WRs this year, totaling a whopping 94.0 per game.
  • D.J. Moore ranks in the 99th percentile for wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive volume) with a remarkable 78.7 figure this year.
  • D.J. Moore has totaled substantially more adjusted receiving yards per game (78.0) this year than he did last year (49.0).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bears to pass on 48.2% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Bears are predicted by the predictive model to call only 61.8 offensive plays in this contest: the lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The Chicago Bears offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
  • The Detroit Lions pass defense has excelled when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 2.82 yards-after-the-catch this year: the fewest in the NFL.

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