D.J. Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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D.J. Moore

NFL · Player Props

D.J. Moore

WR · Chicago Bears

Receiving Yards

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 6:06 PM UTC

Analysis

D.J. Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 73.5 (-145/+115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bears are a 3-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
This week, D.J. Moore is predicted by our trusted projection set to rank in the 88th percentile among wideouts with 8.0 targets.
When talking about air yards, D.J. Moore ranks in the lofty 91st percentile among WRs this year, totaling a whopping 94.0 per game.
D.J. Moore ranks in the 99th percentile for wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive volume) with a remarkable 78.7 figure this year.
D.J. Moore has totaled substantially more adjusted receiving yards per game (78.0) this year than he did last year (49.0).

Favors Under

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bears to pass on 48.2% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Bears are predicted by the predictive model to call only 61.8 offensive plays in this contest: the lowest number among all teams this week.
The Chicago Bears offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
The Detroit Lions pass defense has excelled when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 2.82 yards-after-the-catch this year: the fewest in the NFL.

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