D.J. Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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D.J. Moore

NFL · Player Props

D.J. Moore

WR · Carolina Panthers

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Carolina Panthers · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

D.J. Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (-113/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 64.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 63.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Carolina Panthers will be starting backup QB PJ Walker in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Panthers are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects D.J. Moore to earn 9.7 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 95th percentile among WRs.
The Carolina Panthers O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
D.J. Moore's ability to pick up extra yardage has been refined this year, compiling 5.15 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs just 4.04 rate last year.

Favors Under

The Carolina Panthers will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.9% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 7th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 56.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to call the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers have called the 3rd-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.6 plays per game.
D.J. Moore has been a more important option in his team's offense this season, playing on 97.2% of snaps vs just 87.1% last season.

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