D.J. Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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D.J. Moore

NFL · Player Props

D.J. Moore

WR · Carolina Panthers

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Carolina Panthers · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

D.J. Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 55.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 51.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 55.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Carolina Panthers will be forced to utilize backup quarterback P.J. Walker in this week's contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 1.8% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
The Panthers are a massive 10-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 64.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers offense as the 2nd-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.28 seconds per play.

Favors Under

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.8 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 7th-least in the league.
D.J. Moore has accumulated quite a few less air yards this season (72.0 per game) than he did last season (100.0 per game).
D.J. Moore's 58.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 71.9.
D.J. Moore has posted substantially fewer receiving yards per game (40.0) this season than he did last season (69.0).
D.J. Moore's sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 59.7% to 51.6%.

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