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D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Los Angeles Rams vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
D.J. Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 55.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 51.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 55.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Carolina Panthers will be forced to utilize backup quarterback P.J. Walker in this week's contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 1.8% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • The Panthers are a massive 10-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 64.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers offense as the 2nd-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.28 seconds per play.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 32.8 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 7th-least in the league.
  • D.J. Moore has accumulated quite a few less air yards this season (72.0 per game) than he did last season (100.0 per game).
  • D.J. Moore's 58.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 71.9.
  • D.J. Moore has posted substantially fewer receiving yards per game (40.0) this season than he did last season (69.0).
  • D.J. Moore's sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 59.7% to 51.6%.

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