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D.J. Moore
NFL · Player Props
D.J. Moore
WR · Carolina Panthers
Receiving Yards
Carolina Panthers vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 5, 2022 Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC
NFL Props D.J. Moore Receiving Yards

D.J. Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (-100/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 49.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 51.5 @ -100.

Favors Over
  • The Carolina Panthers will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 3.1% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • The Panthers are a 6-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 9th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 62.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects D.J. Moore to accrue 8.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 88th percentile among wideouts.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to call the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Carolina Panthers have run the 3rd-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 52.2 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 33.8 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 10th-least in the NFL.
  • D.J. Moore has posted quite a few less air yards this year (55.0 per game) than he did last year (100.0 per game).
  • D.J. Moore's 57.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 71.9.
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