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D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
D.J. Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 56.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 53.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Carolina Panthers will be forced to utilize backup QB Sam Darnold in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The Panthers are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • D.J. Moore has run a route on 97.7% of his offense's passing plays this year, ranking in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.
  • THE BLITZ projects D.J. Moore to total 7.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 84th percentile among wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Carolina Panthers will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 7.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 5th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 51.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-least plays run out of all the games this week at 127.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Carolina Panthers have called the 2nd-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 53.4 plays per game.
  • D.J. Moore has notched significantly fewer air yards this season (85.0 per game) than he did last season (100.0 per game).

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