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D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Carolina Panthers vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
D.J. Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 55.5 (-103/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 52.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 55.5 @ -103.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Carolina Panthers will be forced to start backup quarterback Sam Darnold this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game against the Detroit Lions defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
  • D.J. Moore has run a route on 97.6% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 99th percentile among WRs.
  • THE BLITZ projects D.J. Moore to total 7.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 82nd percentile among wideouts.
  • The Carolina Panthers O-line grades out as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 6.1% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 6th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 49.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to run the 5th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Carolina Panthers have run the least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 52.9 plays per game.
  • D.J. Moore has put up quite a few less air yards this season (86.0 per game) than he did last season (100.0 per game).

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