D.J. Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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D.J. Moore

NFL · Player Props

D.J. Moore

WR · Carolina Panthers

Receiving Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Carolina Panthers · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 9:31 PM UTC

Analysis

D.J. Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 50.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 54.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Carolina Panthers will be forced to use backup QB Sam Darnold this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Panthers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
D.J. Moore has run a route on 97.2% of his team's passing plays this year, placing him in the 98th percentile among wideouts.
THE BLITZ projects D.J. Moore to accrue 7.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 86th percentile among wideouts.
The Carolina Panthers O-line profiles as the best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing game stats across the board.

Favors Under

The Carolina Panthers will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 5.3% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 3rd-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to call the 6th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers have run the 3rd-least plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 52.8 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.0 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 4th-least in the NFL.

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