D.J. Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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D.J. Moore

NFL · Player Props

D.J. Moore

WR · Carolina Panthers

Receiving Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 11, 2022 1:21 AM UTC

Analysis

D.J. Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 57.5 (-101/-131).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 59.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 57.5 @ -131.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Carolina Panthers will be forced to utilize backup QB PJ Walker in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
Opposing teams have averaged 40.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects D.J. Moore to earn 8.1 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 85th percentile among WRs.
The Carolina Panthers O-line grades out as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all air attack stats across the board.
D.J. Moore's ability to grind out extra yardage has gotten better this year, averaging 5.09 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a mere 4.04 rate last year.

Favors Under

The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 3.2% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 7th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 53.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to run the 2nd-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers have run the 2nd-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 52.4 plays per game.
D.J. Moore has been a more important option in his team's offense this year, staying in the game for 97.3% of snaps vs just 87.1% last year.

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