D.J. Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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NFL · Player Props

D.J. Moore

WR · Carolina Panthers

Receiving Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Cleveland Browns · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM EST

Analysis

D.J. Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers offense to be the 2nd-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 25.65 seconds per play.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects D.J. Moore to notch 8.4 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among wideouts.
D.J. Moore has been an integral part of his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 29.1% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 98th percentile among wideouts.
D.J. Moore has compiled a colossal 100.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 96th percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

The Carolina Panthers offensive line ranks as the worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all air attack stats across the board.
D.J. Moore has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL, catching a mere 59.7% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 18th percentile among WRs
The Cleveland Browns pass defense has allowed the 9th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (64%) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season (64.0%).
The Cleveland Browns pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency vs. wideouts since the start of last season, allowing 7.74 yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-least in the NFL.
The Cleveland Browns pass defense has excelled when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.84 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 8th-least in football.