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D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 9

Cincinnati Bengals vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
D.J. Moore Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+219/-337).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -288 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -337.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Panthers are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects D.J. Moore to be much more involved in his team's passing attack near the goal line this week (29.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (22.2% in games he has played).
  • D.J. Moore's 72.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the NFL: 97th percentile for wideouts.
  • The Carolina Panthers O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • D.J. Moore grades out in the 84th percentile among wide receivers as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging an impressive 0.38 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to call the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Carolina Panthers have called the 3rd-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.6 plays per game.
  • D.J. Moore has totaled quite a few less air yards this year (94.0 per game) than he did last year (100.0 per game).
  • D.J. Moore's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 59.7% to 54.4%.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals defense has surrendered the 3rd-least passing touchdowns in the league to WRs: 0.50 per game this year.

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