D.J. Moore Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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D.J. Moore

NFL · Player Props

D.J. Moore

WR · Carolina Panthers

Receiving TD

Los Angeles Rams vs Carolina Panthers · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

D.J. Moore Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+275/-375).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Panthers are a massive 10-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers offense as the 2nd-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.28 seconds per play.
The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
D.J. Moore has been an integral part of his team's passing offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 18.2% this year, which puts him in the 82nd percentile among wideouts.
The Carolina Panthers O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Favors Under

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.8 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 7th-least in the league.
D.J. Moore has accumulated quite a few less air yards this season (72.0 per game) than he did last season (100.0 per game).
D.J. Moore's 58.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 71.9.
D.J. Moore's sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 59.7% to 51.6%.
The Carolina Panthers offensive line has given their quarterback a measly 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

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