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D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 5

Carolina Panthers vs San Francisco 49ers

D.J. Moore Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+255/-418).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +269 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +255.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Panthers are a 6-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.

The weather report calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

D.J. Moore has been an integral part of his team's passing attack near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 20.0% this year, which ranks him in the 81st percentile among wideouts.

The Carolina Panthers offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

The Carolina Panthers have gone up against a stacked the box on 19.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to call the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Carolina Panthers have run the 3rd-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 52.2 plays per game.

Opposing offenses have averaged 33.8 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 10th-least in the NFL.

D.J. Moore has posted quite a few less air yards this year (55.0 per game) than he did last year (100.0 per game).

D.J. Moore's 57.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 71.9.

More D.J. Moore Player Props

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