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D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 3

Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
D.J. Moore Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+260/-360).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 127.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • D.J. Moore has been a big part of his team's pass game near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 23.0% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers.
  • D.J. Moore has accumulated a whopping 94.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 92nd percentile among WRs.
  • D.J. Moore's 70.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in football: 97th percentile for wide receivers.
  • The New Orleans Saints pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.55 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-most sluggish in football since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Carolina Panthers offensive line ranks as the worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • D.J. Moore has been among the least sure-handed receivers in the league, completing a mere 57.0% of passes thrown his way this year, grading out in the 23rd percentile among WRs
  • The New Orleans Saints defense has conceded the 6th-least passing touchdowns in the league to WRs: 0.79 per game since the start of last season.
  • The New Orleans Saints linebackers profile as the 3rd-best collection of LBs in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.
  • The Carolina Panthers offensive line has allowed their QB a measly 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

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