D.J. Moore Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 2

NFL · Player Props

D.J. Moore

WR · Carolina Panthers

Receiving TD

New York Giants vs Carolina Panthers · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

D.J. Moore Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+211/-321).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +214 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +211.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers have run the 10th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 63.6 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Giants defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the NFL.
D.J. Moore has been heavily involved in his team's offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 23.2% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers.
D.J. Moore has notched a whopping 96.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 94th percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

The Carolina Panthers O-line profiles as the worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
The Carolina Panthers offensive line has given their QB a mere 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
The New York Giants have stacked the box against opponents on just 11.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-least in football. Choosing not to keep an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
The Carolina Panthers have incorporated play action on a measly 23.0% of their passing plays since the start of last season (7th-least in football), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.