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D.J. Moore
NFL · Player Props
D.J. Moore
WR · Carolina Panthers
Receiving TD
Baltimore Ravens vs Carolina Panthers · Week 11, 2022 Updated Nov 20, 2022 6:01 PM UTC
NFL Props D.J. Moore Receiving TD

D.J. Moore Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+260/-430).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +309 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +260.

Favors Over
  • The Panthers are an enormous 13-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.
  • THE BLITZ projects D.J. Moore to be a more important option in his offense's pass game near the end zone this week (26.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (21.7% in games he has played).
  • D.J. Moore's 72.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the NFL: 96th percentile for wide receivers.
  • The Carolina Panthers offensive line profiles as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all pass game stats across the board.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to call the 2nd-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Carolina Panthers have run the least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 52.6 plays per game.
  • The weather forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • D.J. Moore has accrued significantly fewer air yards this year (89.0 per game) than he did last year (100.0 per game).
  • D.J. Moore's ball-catching skills have tailed off this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 59.7% to 53.5%.
More D.J. Moore Props Data by WriteNow™
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